Glenn Reynolds at Instapundit.com writes about all the reasons the GOP deserve, and are likely to lose come election day. Some of this sounds interesting from a "law professor" point of view. Much of it is material I doubt most voters will include in their calculus:
1. The Terri Schiavo affair - who? Yes, I know who she was and what the flap was about. I doubt that will surface in the minds of voters come election day.
2. Harriet Miers - Huh!? Oh, yeah that supreme court lady. Nope, not worth remembering when I pull the lever.
3. Dubia Ports deal? How does that hurt the Republicans? That they’re soft on homeland security? Come on, that’s too much of a stretch when compared to the attempted death of a thousand cuts the Dems have put on homeland security.
4. Immigration - This one might have some traction, but not for House candidates. They are the ones that stopped those idiot Senators from following the gang of 14 into never-never land. Social security for illegal aliens! Talk about a vote-buying scheme parading as good policy.
5. William Jefferson - Oh, not that Clinton boob, the frozen funds Congressman. Maybe trouble for Hastert, should be trouble for Jefferson and any Dem stupid enough to defend him, but nothing for a Republican Congressperson to fret about.
6. Folegate - This is the only one that is close enough to election day (October surprise, anyone?) to possibly have an impact. But I doubt it will cause anyone a problem except for Joe Negron, whose name can’t get on the ballot to replace him. Even this, issue won’t really sway a wide swath of voters across the country, if only because Dems will overplay the scandal issue (with a little help from their media friends).
I much prefer Hugh Hewitt’s Democrat Campaign Stategy FAQ over at Townhall.com
If the GOP loses control of one or both of the Houses of Congress, it will be the result of people seeing the incumbents (a majority of whom are Republicans) as too free-spending and too liberal in their policies, not any one of the specifics that Glenn Reynolds lists. Too far down into the tall grass I think.